Bitcoin price starts ‘Uptober’ down 0.7% amid hope for final $20K push

Bitcoin (BTC) failed to carry $20,000 into the September month-to-month shut as one dealer eyed a closing comeback earlier than recent draw back.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Supply: TradingView

Dealer’s $20,500 upside goal stays

Knowledge from Cointelegraph Markets Professional and TradingView confirmed BTC/USD staying decrease after ending the month at round $19,400.

Capping 3% losses, the month-to-month chart didn’t rally on Oct. 1, with BTC/USD down one other 0.7% in “Uptober” to date, based on information from on-chain information useful resource Coinglass.

BTC/USD month-to-month returns chart (screenshot). Supply: Coinglass

Dismal monetary information from macro markets contributed to the dearth of urge for food for danger property, and amongst crypto merchants, the outlook remained gloomy.

For widespread Twitter account Il Capo of Crypto, a return above the $20,000 mark was nonetheless attainable on the day, this nonetheless to be adopted by a dive a lot decrease.

A further submit famous regular buy-ins price $192,000 on change FTX, one thing which he argued may contribute to the short-term upside.

Whereas nonetheless on the time of writing, BTC/USD seemed apt for volatility into the weekly shut, as advised by the tightening Bollinger Bands on decrease timeframes.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp) with Bollinger Bands. Supply: TradingView

The September shut nonetheless continued a dropping streak for Bitcoin which now rivaled the 2018 bear market, as highlighted by Caleb Franzen, senior market analyst at Cubic Analytics.

“Bitcoin has formally produced 10 consecutive crimson month-to-month Heikin Ashi candles, with the September shut,” he revealed.

“That is the longest such streak for the reason that 2018 bear market, which produced 14 crimson candles from Feb.’18 to Mar.’19. Every bear market streak has been longer than the final…”

BTC/USD 1-month Heikin Ashi candle chart (Bitstamp). Supply: TradingView

Main banks sound alarm bells amongst analysts

The macro story of the second revolved round main international banks, headlined by worrying indicators popping out of Credit score Suisse.

Associated: Bitcoin 2021 bull market consumers ‘capitulate’ as information exhibits 50% losses

The Swiss lender’s share worth, having all however collapsed since 2021, now had concern spreading to establishments equivalent to Deutsche Financial institution, UniCredit and even Financial institution of China.

“Credit score Suisse is just not the one main financial institution whose price-to-book is flashing warning alerts.The record beneath is of all G-SIBs with PtBs of beneath 40%,” Alistair Macleod, head of analysis at Goldmoney, responded, importing a comparative chart of varied banks’ worth to e-book ratios.

“A failure of one in every of them is more likely to name the survival of the others into query.”

In a memo quoted by Reuters on Oct. 2, Credit score Suisse CEO, Ulrich Koerner, cautioned traders towards “complicated our day-to-day inventory worth efficiency with the sturdy capital base and liquidity place of the financial institution.”

The occasions comply with the Financial institution of England returning to quantitative easing (QE) final week in an unprecedented U-turn with inflation at forty-year highs.

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